New England Patriots vs Green Bay Packers: Prediction
New England Patriots host Green Bay Packers at Gillette Stadium in NFL Round 9. Form, head-to-head record and our model's prediction.
Patriots and Packers meet level on record
The New England Patriots host the Green Bay Packers in Round 9 of the 2026 NFL season on Sunday, 8 November 2026. Kick-off at Gillette Stadium is at 21:25 UTC (16:25 ET).
There is nothing between the sides on record. Both have played 8, won 5 and lost 3, with the Patriots 12th of 32 teams and the Packers one place behind in 13th. New England have scored 184 points and conceded 162, while Green Bay have scored 171 and allowed 164.
Form guide
The Patriots have won four of their last five games. They won 29-26 at the Buffalo Bills, beat the Las Vegas Raiders 45-17 and the New York Jets 26-19 at home, lost 24-30 at the Chicago Bears, then won 24-19 at the Miami Dolphins on 1 November.
The Packers have an identical WLWWW run. They won 17-14 at the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, beat the Chicago Bears 31-7 and the Dallas Cowboys 23-13 at home, lost 17-20 at the Detroit Lions, and then beat the Carolina Panthers 27-19 on 30 October.
Head to head
The Patriots have won three of the last five meetings and the Packers two. New England won 31-27 at home in December 2010 and 31-17 at home in November 2018, while Green Bay won 26-21 at home in November 2014 and 27-24 at home in October 2022.
The most recent meeting, on 20 August 2023, went to the Patriots, who won 21-17 in Green Bay.
Key numbers
Across all competitions, the Patriots have played 11 games, with 6 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats, scoring 234 points and conceding 233. The Packers have played 11 too, winning 7 and losing 4, with 255 points scored and 243 conceded.
Neither side has a clean sheet in that run. The Patriots' NFL scoring edge of 184 points to Green Bay's 171 is one of the few clear gaps between two evenly matched teams.
Prediction
Hyper2Play's own model, which weighs points per game, points difference, recent form and home advantage, rates the New England Patriots as the stronger side. It gives the Patriots a 61% chance of winning and the Packers 39%, with a draw at 0%.
The pick is the New England Patriots, with high confidence. Their slightly better scoring record, their 3-2 lead in recent meetings and home field at Gillette Stadium explain the lean. This is a model estimate, not a guarantee.
Our own model, from points per game, goal difference, recent form and home advantage. An estimate, not betting advice.
This article was written with automation from verified sports data and checked against that data before publishing. How we work
