Jaguares de Nayarit vs Águilas de Mexicali: Prediction

Jaguares de Nayarit welcome Águilas de Mexicali to Estadio Coloso Don Alejo Peralta in the 2026/2027 Liga Mexicana del Pacífico. The game starts on Thursday, 29 October 2026, at 02:30 UTC (22:30 ET).

The hosts are bottom of the 10-team table with two wins and nine defeats from 11 games, giving them 2 points. Águilas de Mexicali are third, having won seven and lost four of their 11 games for 7 points.

Jaguares de Nayarit return home after a run of five road games that produced form of LWLLL. They were beaten 4-11 and 3-9 by Naranjeros de Hermosillo, then lost 4-5 to Mayos de Navojoa before a 7-5 win in the same series. Their most recent outing ended in a 0-5 defeat to Mayos de Navojoa.

Águilas de Mexicali come in with form of WWLWL. They split a trip to Charros de Jalisco, losing 7-9 and winning 11-4, before dropping a 5-7 decision at home to Naranjeros de Hermosillo. They then beat the same opponents 6-3 and 6-5 to close the series.

The run totals underline the gap between the sides. Jaguares de Nayarit have scored 45 runs and conceded 77 across their 11 games, and they have yet to record a shutout.

Águilas de Mexicali have scored 63 runs and allowed 55 over the same number of games. They have also kept two shutouts, which points to a more reliable pitching staff than the one they face here.

Hyper2Play's model makes Águilas de Mexicali clear favourites, giving them an 80% chance of victory against 20% for Jaguares de Nayarit. The model's pick is Águilas de Mexicali, with high confidence.

The estimate is built on points per game, run difference, recent form and home advantage, and the visitors lead the hosts on almost every one of those measures. Home advantage is the main factor in Jaguares de Nayarit's favour. As with any model output, this is an estimate and not a guarantee.