Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks: Prediction
Minnesota Timberwolves host Dallas Mavericks at Target Center in the NBA. Form, head-to-head record and Hyper2Play's model prediction.
Timberwolves host Mavericks at Target Center
The Minnesota Timberwolves welcome the Dallas Mavericks to Target Center in the NBA's 2026/2027 season. Tip-off is on Friday, 13 November 2026, at 01:00 UTC (20:00 ET).
Minnesota sit 6th of 30 teams with eight wins and three defeats from 11 games. Dallas are 12th, having won seven and lost four of their 11 outings.
Form guide
Minnesota arrive on a four-game winning run. They beat the Utah Jazz 115-100 at home on 9 November, after road wins over the New Orleans Pelicans (115-109) and the Houston Rockets (117-107) and a 112-100 home victory over the Milwaukee Bucks. The last defeat came on 1 November, 111-121 away to the San Antonio Spurs.
Dallas have won their last three, all at home. They edged the Indiana Pacers 125-122 on 10 November, a day after a 130-93 win over the Brooklyn Nets, and beat the Utah Jazz 112-100 on 7 November. Before that they lost 111-112 at San Antonio and 100-115 at home to the Sacramento Kings.
Head to head
This fixture has gone Minnesota's way recently, with the Timberwolves winning all of the last five meetings. The most recent, on 31 March 2026, ended 124-94 to Minnesota in Dallas.
They also won 122-111 at home on 21 February 2026 and 118-105 in Dallas on 29 January 2026. The closest of the five was on 23 January 2025, when Minnesota won 115-114 on the road.
Key numbers
In the league, Minnesota have scored 1299 points and conceded 1177 across their 11 games. Dallas have scored 1264 and allowed 1213 over the same number of games.
Across all competitions, the Timberwolves are 11-6 from 17 games, with 1996 points scored and 1886 conceded. The Mavericks are 8-7 from 15, having scored 1721 and conceded 1699.
Prediction
Hyper2Play's own model, which weighs points per game, scoring difference, recent form and home advantage, rates Minnesota Timberwolves as favourites with a 74% chance of winning against 26% for Dallas Mavericks. The pick is Minnesota Timberwolves, with high confidence.
Minnesota's stronger league position, four straight wins, home court and a perfect record in the last five meetings support that view. Dallas do arrive on a three-game winning streak, and the model's figures are an estimate rather than a guarantee.
Our own model, from points per game, goal difference, recent form and home advantage. An estimate, not betting advice.
This article was written with automation from verified sports data and checked against that data before publishing. How we work
