Real Madrid Baloncesto vs Fenerbahçe Basketbol: Prediction
Real Madrid Baloncesto host Fenerbahçe Basketbol in EuroLeague Round 9 on 29 October 2026. Form, head to head and our model's prediction.
Round 9 at the Palacio de Deportes
Real Madrid Baloncesto welcome Fenerbahçe Basketbol to the Palacio de Deportes de la Comunidad de Madrid in Round 9 of the 2026/2027 EuroLeague. Tip-off is on Thursday, 29 October 2026 at 19:45 UTC (15:45 ET).
The visitors arrive higher in the standings, sitting 2nd of 20 after winning six of their seven games for 6 points. Real Madrid Baloncesto are 7th with four wins and three defeats from seven games, giving them 4 points.
Form guide
Real Madrid Baloncesto come in on a run of five straight wins across all competitions. The latest was a 122-86 victory away at Força Lleida CE in the Liga ACB, following a 113-99 EuroLeague win at Maccabi Tel Aviv BC, and they also beat Lyon-Villeurbanne 111-92 at home and Olimpia Milano 98-89 away in Europe.
Fenerbahçe Basketbol have won four of their last five, with form reading WWLWW. They edged Olympiacos BC 64-61 away in the EuroLeague and beat Karşıyaka Basket 97-72 in the Basketbol Süper Ligi, while their only slip in that run was a 77-82 home defeat to Petkim Spor. Earlier, they beat KK Partizan 74-65 and BC Žalgiris 99-80 at home in the EuroLeague.
Head to head
Fenerbahçe Basketbol have won three of the last five meetings to Real Madrid Baloncesto's two. The visitors took three in a row between March 2024 and February 2025, including an 89-79 win and an 82-70 win in this building.
Real Madrid Baloncesto have won the two most recent encounters, though. They beat Fenerbahçe Basketbol 84-58 at home on 30 October 2025 and then won 74-69 away on 9 April 2026.
Key numbers
Real Madrid Baloncesto have scored 667 points and conceded 630 in their seven EuroLeague games. Across all competitions they have won nine of 12, scoring 1231 and allowing 1077.
Fenerbahçe Basketbol have been the tighter defensive side in Europe, conceding 508 while scoring 565 in seven EuroLeague games. In all competitions they have won eight of 11, with 922 points scored and 845 conceded.
Prediction
Hyper2Play's model, which weighs points per game, scoring difference, recent form and home advantage, rates this as close to even. It gives Real Madrid Baloncesto a 51% chance of winning against 49% for Fenerbahçe Basketbol, and picks the home side with medium confidence.
Fenerbahçe Basketbol's stronger league position and head-to-head edge are balanced by Real Madrid Baloncesto's five-game winning run and home court. This is an estimate from our model, not a guarantee of the result.
Our own model, from points per game, goal difference, recent form and home advantage. An estimate, not betting advice.
This article was written with automation from verified sports data and checked against that data before publishing. How we work
