Al-Nassr vs Al-Kholood: Prediction & Preview

Al-Nassr welcome Al-Kholood to King Saud University Stadium for Round 12 of the 2026/2027 Saudi Pro League on Thursday, 29 October 2026. Kick-off is at 18:00 UTC (14:00 ET).

The hosts sit 2nd of 18 with 25 points from 10 games, having won eight, drawn one and lost one. Al-Kholood are 9th on 12 points from the same number of matches, with three wins, three draws and four defeats.

Al-Nassr arrive in strong form, with a WWWDW run in their last five. They won 3-1 away at Al-Faisaly on 23 October after a 1-0 home win over Neom on 20 October, and before that beat Al-Diriyah 3-0 at home. The only dropped points in that spell came in a 1-1 draw at Al-Khaleej, either side of a 2-1 home win over Abha.

Al-Kholood's form reads LLLLW, with four straight league defeats. The most recent was a 0-3 home loss to Al-Ettifaq on 24 October, following a 2-3 defeat at Al-Faisaly and a 0-5 home loss to Al-Qadsiah. Their last win came on 9 September, 2-1 at home to Al-Shabab.

Al-Nassr have scored 23 goals and conceded just 8 in their 10 matches, keeping 4 clean sheets along the way. Their defensive record is among the reasons they sit so close to the top of the table.

Al-Kholood have scored 14 and conceded 21 in their 10 games, and they have yet to keep a clean sheet. That leaky defence will be tested against one of the league's most productive attacks.

Hyper2Play's own model, which weighs points per game, goal difference, recent form and home advantage, rates Al-Nassr strong favourites. It gives the hosts an 85% chance of winning, a draw 14% and Al-Kholood 1%, with high confidence in the pick of Al-Nassr.

The most likely score according to the model is 2-1 to Al-Nassr, reflecting their attacking output at home and Al-Kholood's habit of scoring occasionally but conceding regularly. This is an estimate from our model, not a guarantee of the result.