Atlético Tucumán vs Platense: Prediction & Preview
Atlético Tucumán face Platense in the Copa Argentina semi-finals on 29 October 2026. Form, head-to-head, key numbers and our model's prediction.
A place in the Copa Argentina final up for grabs
Atlético Tucumán and Platense meet in the semi-finals of the 2026 Copa Argentina on Thursday, 29 October 2026, with kick-off at 00:15 UTC (20:15 ET). The tie is played at Estadio Padre Ernesto Martearena rather than Atlético Tucumán's own ground, the Estadio Monumental Presidente José Fierro.
Across all competitions, Atlético Tucumán have played 34 matches, winning 10, drawing 11 and losing 13, with 38 goals scored and 35 conceded. Platense have played 40, with 9 wins, 16 draws and 15 defeats, scoring 33 and conceding 45.
Form guide
Atlético Tucumán come in with a form line of WLDLL. Their most recent outing was a 1-0 win away at Tigre on 24 October, which followed a 2-3 home defeat to Rosario Central, a 1-1 draw at Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata, a 2-3 home loss to Barracas Central and a 0-1 defeat at Aldosivi.
Platense's form reads WLDDW. They won 2-1 away at Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza on 23 October after a 0-1 home defeat to Lanús, and before that drew 1-1 with Argentinos Juniors and 2-2 at Vélez Sarsfield. Their last Copa Argentina match was a 1-0 home win over Estudiantes de La Plata on 2 October.
Head to head
Atlético Tucumán have the edge in the last five meetings, with two wins to Platense's one and two draws. The most recent encounter, on 4 October 2025, ended in a 2-0 win for Atlético Tucumán at home.
Platense's only win in that run came on 29 March 2025, when they beat Atlético Tucumán 2-1 at home. The sides drew 1-1 on 28 May 2024 and on 11 February 2023, while Atlético Tucumán won 2-1 on 5 October 2022.
Key numbers and players
Platense have the stronger attacking averages, with 52.26% possession, 13.74 shots, 4.29 shots on target and an xG of 0.69 per match across 31 games with stats. Atlético Tucumán average 41.63% possession, 11.25 shots, 3.42 shots on target and an xG of 0.44 across 24 games with stats.
Atlético Tucumán do concede slightly less by expected goals, at 0.5 xG against compared with Platense's 0.65, and they have kept 14 clean sheets to Platense's 10. Alexis Canelo and Gonzalo Lencina are listed as the respective top scorers, each with 1 league goal.
Prediction
Hyper2Play's model, which weighs points per game, goal difference, recent form and home advantage, makes Platense the pick with medium confidence. It gives Platense a 48% chance of winning, Atlético Tucumán 27% and a draw 25%.
Our own model, from points per game, goal difference, recent form and home advantage. An estimate, not betting advice.
This article was written with automation from verified sports data and checked against that data before publishing. How we work
