Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool: Prediction & Preview
Fenerbahçe host Liverpool in UEFA Champions League Round 4 at Chobani Stadyumu. Form, key numbers and our model's prediction for the 4 November game.
Fenerbahçe and Liverpool meet in Round 4
Fenerbahçe welcome Liverpool to Chobani Stadyumu in Round 4 of the 2026/2027 UEFA Champions League on Wednesday, 4 November 2026. Kick-off is at 17:45 UTC (12:45 ET).
The two sides arrive at opposite ends of the table. Fenerbahçe sit 31st of 36 with 2 points from three games, having drawn two and lost one, with 3 goals scored and 9 conceded. Liverpool are 3rd with a perfect 9 points, scoring 12 and conceding 7.
Form guide
Fenerbahçe's recent form reads LLDWL. They were beaten 1-2 at home by Göztepe on 31 October and lost by the same score away to Galatasaray on 26 October. Their last Champions League outing was a 2-2 home draw with Slavia Prague, a week after a heavy 0-6 defeat at Aston Villa, while a 3-0 home win over Alanyaspor is their only victory in the run.
Liverpool's form is LWWWW, though their latest result was a 0-1 home defeat to Arsenal in the Premier League on 1 November. Before that they beat Brighton and Hove Albion 2-0 and won 2-1 at Brentford. In Europe they edged Villarreal 4-3 at home and won 6-3 away to LASK.
Key numbers and players
Across all competitions Fenerbahçe have played 19, winning 9, drawing 5 and losing 5, with 35 goals for, 22 against and 8 clean sheets. In the 10 matches with stats they average 56.3% possession, 15.3 shots and 6 on target, with an xG of 0.66 against 0.65 conceded. Talisca leads their scoring with 4 league goals, ahead of Mason Greenwood on 3.
Liverpool's record in all competitions stands at 7 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats from 12 games, with 23 goals scored, 16 conceded and 4 clean sheets. They average 54.25% possession, 16.75 shots and 5 on target, with an xG of 1.78 and 1.51 against. Bradley Barcola and Alexis Mac Allister share top spot on 3 league goals each.
Prediction
Hyper2Play's model, which weighs points per game, goal difference, recent form and home advantage, makes Liverpool clear favourites. It gives them an 86% chance of victory, a draw 14% and a Fenerbahçe win 0%, with high confidence and a likely score of 1-3.
The gap in the table, Liverpool's perfect European record and Fenerbahçe's two straight defeats explain the lean towards the visitors. This is an estimate from our model, not a guarantee.
Most likely score: 1-3
Our own model, from points per game, goal difference, recent form and home advantage. An estimate, not betting advice.
This article was written with automation from verified sports data and checked against that data before publishing. How we work
