New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls: Prediction
New England Revolution host New York Red Bulls at Gillette Stadium in MLS Round 32. Form, key numbers and Hyper2Play's model prediction.
Revolution host Red Bulls in Round 32
New England Revolution welcome New York Red Bulls to Gillette Stadium for Round 32 of the 2026 MLS season on Wednesday, 28 October 2026. Kick-off is at 23:30 UTC (19:30 ET).
The hosts are 3rd of 30 teams with 55 points from 31 matches, having won 17, drawn 4 and lost 10. New York Red Bulls sit 9th on 39 points from the same number of games, with a record of 11 wins, 6 draws and 14 defeats.
Form guide
New England arrive on a run of three straight wins, reading WWWLL with the newest result first. They won 2-1 away at Philadelphia Union on 24 October, beat Chicago Fire 1-0 at home and edged FC Cincinnati 3-2 on the road. That run followed back-to-back 0-3 defeats against Seattle Sounders at home and Real Salt Lake away.
New York Red Bulls have been less consistent, with form of WLLWL. They beat Inter Miami 2-0 at home on 24 October, but before that lost 0-2 at home to Toronto FC and 1-2 away at DC United. Their earlier results were a 4-1 home win over San Diego FC and a 0-3 home defeat to St. Louis City SC.
Key numbers and players
New England have scored 51 goals and conceded 42 across 31 matches, keeping 6 clean sheets. The Red Bulls have scored 41 and conceded 56, with 5 clean sheets, so the defensive gap between the sides is clear.
In the 3 New England matches with detailed stats, they averaged 46.67% possession, 9.33 shots, 5.33 shots on target and 4.33 corners. Their average xG of 1.71 sat below the 1.93 xG they allowed. Dor Turgeman leads their scoring with 4 league goals, ahead of Carles Gil on 3.
Prediction
Hyper2Play's model, which weighs points per game, goal difference, recent form and home advantage, rates New England Revolution as clear favourites. It gives the hosts a 68% chance of winning, with 20% for a draw and 12% for a New York Red Bulls win, and its confidence level is high.
The pick is New England Revolution, with 2-1 the most likely score. Their higher league position, stronger goal record and three-match winning run all point that way, though the model's output is an estimate and not a guarantee.
Most likely score: 2-1
Our own model, from points per game, goal difference, recent form and home advantage. An estimate, not betting advice.
This article was written with automation from verified sports data and checked against that data before publishing. How we work
