Oxford United vs Stockport County: Prediction & Preview

Oxford United welcome Stockport County to The Kassam Stadium for Round 9 of League One on Tuesday, 27 October 2026, with kick-off at 19:45 UTC (15:45 ET). The hosts sit 7th of 24 with 19 points from 10 matches, having won 5, drawn 4 and lost only 1.

Stockport County arrive in 2nd place on 23 points from 12 games. Their record reads 7 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats, with 24 goals scored and 12 conceded.

Oxford United have not lost in any of their last five league outings, though draws dominate their recent run. A goalless draw at home to Bradford City on 24 October followed a 2-1 home win over Wigan Athletic, a 1-1 draw at Mansfield Town and a 2-1 victory at Notts County.

Stockport County come in on stronger momentum. Before a 1-1 draw at Notts County on 24 October, they won four straight: 1-0 against Peterborough United, 3-1 against Barnsley, 1-0 against Bromley and 2-0 away at Doncaster Rovers.

Stockport County's underlying figures stand out. They average 61.58% possession, 16.67 shots and 7.25 corners per match, with an xG of 2.23 against just 0.93 conceded, and they have kept 5 clean sheets.

Oxford United average 54.6% possession and 12.5 shots per game, but their xG of 1.36 sits below the 1.48 they allow. They have 3 clean sheets this season.

Kyle Wootton is the main threat for the visitors with 6 league goals, while Oliver Norwood has 2. Siriki Dembélé tops Oxford United's scoring list with 2 league goals.

Hyper2Play's model, based on points per game, goal difference, recent form and home advantage, rates this as a close contest: 35% for an Oxford United win, 28% for a draw and 37% for Stockport County. The pick is Stockport County, with a likely score of 1-2.

Stockport County's league position, recent winning run and superior shot and xG numbers tip the balance, while Oxford United's home record and lack of recent defeats keep the margin narrow. The model's confidence is low, and this estimate is not a guarantee.