Sevilla vs Deportivo Alavés: Prediction & Preview
Sevilla host Deportivo Alavés in La Liga Round 12 on Friday, 6 November 2026. Form, head to head, key numbers and our model's prediction.
Sevilla host Deportivo Alavés in Round 12
Sevilla welcome Deportivo Alavés to the Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán in Round 12 of the 2026/2027 La Liga season. Kick-off is on Friday, 6 November 2026, at 20:00 UTC (15:00 ET).
Sevilla sit 6th of 20 with 17 points from 11 matches, having won five, drawn two and lost four. They have scored 17 league goals and conceded 19. Deportivo Alavés are 11th with 12 points from their 11 games, a record of three wins, three draws and five defeats, with 15 goals scored and 17 conceded.
Form guide
Sevilla's last five reads LWWLD. Their most recent outing was a 1-3 defeat away to Getafe on 1 November, which followed a 3-0 Copa del Rey win at Sporting de Hortaleza and a 2-0 home victory over Osasuna. Before that they lost 1-4 at Real Madrid and drew 3-3 at Levante.
Deportivo Alavés arrive with LDLLD as their recent form. They were beaten 1-6 at Barcelona on 31 October, having drawn 1-1 at home to Málaga before that. Back-to-back 1-2 defeats against Celta Vigo away and Atlético Madrid at home came after a 0-0 draw at Athletic Bilbao.
Head to head
Recent meetings have favoured Deportivo Alavés, who have won two of the last five against Sevilla, with Sevilla winning one and two ending level. The latest, on 14 February 2026 in Seville, finished 1-1.
Before that, Deportivo Alavés won 1-0 at home on 17 December 2025, while Sevilla won 1-2 on their visit on 20 September 2025. The sides drew 1-1 in Seville on 20 April 2025, and Deportivo Alavés won 2-1 at home on 20 September 2024.
Key numbers and players
The two sides' statistical profiles are close. Sevilla average 42.64% possession, 12.36 shots and 4.55 shots on target per game, with an xG of 1.28 against 1.54 conceded. Deportivo Alavés average 42.45% possession, 12.73 shots and also 4.55 on target, with an xG of 1.3 and 1.26 against.
Isaac Romero is Sevilla's top league scorer with 3 goals, ahead of Miguel Sierra on 2. For Deportivo Alavés, Lucas Boyé has 5 league goals and Mariano has 3. Sevilla have kept 4 clean sheets in all competitions, Deportivo Alavés 3.
Prediction
Hyper2Play's model, which weighs points per game, goal difference, recent form and home advantage, gives Sevilla a 62% chance of victory. A draw is rated at 22% and an away win at 16%, and the model's confidence is high.
Sevilla's higher league position, stronger recent form and home advantage drive that estimate, while Deportivo Alavés come into the game without a win in their last five. The model's pick is Sevilla, with 2-1 the likely score. This is an estimate from our own model, not a guarantee.
Most likely score: 2-1
Our own model, from points per game, goal difference, recent form and home advantage. An estimate, not betting advice.
This article was written with automation from verified sports data and checked against that data before publishing. How we work
