Sporting de Alcázar vs Málaga: Prediction & Preview

Sporting de Alcázar host Málaga in Round 128 of the 2026/2027 Copa del Rey on Tuesday, 27 October 2026. Kick-off at Estadio Municipal de Alcázar is at 20:00 UTC (16:00 ET).

The two sides arrive in contrasting moods. Sporting de Alcázar have a perfect record from their two games this season, while Málaga are still looking for their first win in all competitions.

Sporting de Alcázar reached this stage by beating Talayuela twice in the Copa del Rey. They won 2-1 away on 27 September 2026, then completed the job with a 1-0 home victory on 4 October 2026.

Málaga's recent La Liga form reads DLDLL. They drew 1-1 away at Deportivo Alavés on 23 October 2026, five days after a 2-5 home defeat to Real Sociedad. Before that came a 1-1 home draw with Espanyol, a 0-1 loss away at Getafe and a 1-3 home defeat to Villarreal.

Across all competitions, Sporting de Alcázar have played 2, won 2, scored 3 and conceded 1, keeping one clean sheet. It is a small sample, but a clean one.

Málaga's numbers are more concerning: 10 played, 0 won, 5 drawn and 5 lost. They have scored 7 and conceded 19, with only one clean sheet in that run.

Hyper2Play's model, which weighs points per game, goal difference, recent form and home advantage, rates Sporting de Alcázar as strong favourites. It gives the hosts an 83% chance of winning, with 14% for a draw and 3% for a Málaga win, and its pick is Sporting de Alcázar with high confidence.

That view reflects the hosts' unbeaten start and home advantage against a Málaga side without a win in 10 and with a heavily negative goal difference. As with any model estimate, it is not a guarantee of the result.