Toronto FC vs DC United: Prediction & Preview

Toronto FC welcome DC United to BMO Field for Round 32 of the 2026 MLS season on Wednesday, 28 October 2026. Kick-off is at 23:30 UTC (19:30 ET).

The hosts sit 11th of 30 with 36 points from 31 matches, having won 8, drawn 12 and lost 11. DC United are two places lower in 13th on 33 points, with a record of 7 wins, 12 draws and 12 defeats from the same number of games.

Toronto FC's last five read LWDWL. They lost 2-4 away to Columbus Crew on 24 October, a week after a 2-0 win away to New York Red Bulls. Before that came a 3-3 home draw with Orlando City and a 2-1 home win over CF Montréal, while the run began with a 0-2 defeat away to Nashville SC.

DC United arrive in poorer shape with a form line of LLLWL. They have lost twice in a row to FC Cincinnati, 0-2 at home on 24 October and 1-2 away on 21 October, and were beaten 1-4 at Orlando City on 17 October. Their only win in that spell was 2-1 at home to New York Red Bulls, sandwiched by a 0-4 loss away to Inter Miami.

Toronto FC have scored 48 goals and conceded 59 across their 31 matches, keeping 4 clean sheets. Their attack has been more productive than DC United's, but the defence has leaked more.

DC United have managed 38 goals while conceding 55, with 6 clean sheets. Tai Baribo leads their scoring with 4 league goals, followed by Kimito Nono on 3.

Hyper2Play's model gives Toronto FC a 54% chance of victory, with the draw at 24% and a DC United win at 22%. The pick is Toronto FC, with 2-1 the most likely score and confidence rated as medium.

The model weighs points per game, goal difference, recent form and home advantage. Toronto FC's higher league position, stronger scoring record and home fixture tilt it their way, while DC United's three straight defeats count against the visitors. This is an estimate from our own model, not a guarantee of the result.