TPSG Frisch Auf Göppingen vs VfL Gummersbach: Prediction
TPSG Frisch Auf Göppingen host VfL Gummersbach in Handball-Bundesliga Round 11. Form, head to head and our model's prediction.
Mid-table neighbours meet at the EWS Arena
TPSG Frisch Auf Göppingen welcome VfL Gummersbach to the EWS Arena for Round 11 of the 2026/2027 Handball-Bundesliga season. The match is on Thursday, 29 October 2026, with throw-off at 18:00 UTC (14:00 ET).
The two sides sit next to each other in the table on 8 points apiece. VfL Gummersbach are 10th of 18 after 8 games, while TPSG Frisch Auf Göppingen are 11th having played 10, with a record of 4 wins and 6 defeats.
Form guide
TPSG Frisch Auf Göppingen arrive on the back of a 34-26 home win over ThSV Eisenach on 23 October, which ended a run of four straight defeats. Before that they lost 26-28 at TBV Lemgo, 25-29 at home to SG BBM Bietigheim, 27-32 at SG Flensburg-Handewitt and 28-36 at TSV Hannover-Burgdorf.
VfL Gummersbach's last five read DLWWL. Their most recent outing was a 28-28 draw at ThSV Eisenach on 16 October, following a 26-29 defeat at THW Kiel. Earlier they beat Bergischer HC 38-30 at home and won 36-33 at HSG Wetzlar, after losing 28-33 at Füchse Berlin.
Head to head
Recent history favours the visitors. TPSG Frisch Auf Göppingen have not beaten VfL Gummersbach in the last five meetings, which produced three Gummersbach wins and two draws.
The latest encounter, on 30 April 2026, finished 29-29 in Gummersbach. The previous visit to Göppingen, on 12 October 2025, ended in a heavy 24-36 away win, and Gummersbach also won 41-25 at home on 28 May 2025.
Key numbers
TPSG Frisch Auf Göppingen have scored 282 goals and conceded 303 in their 10 league matches, so their defence has been the bigger concern. VfL Gummersbach have scored 249 and conceded 243 across their 8 games, keeping their goal tally in credit.
Gummersbach's 3 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats also mean they have reached 8 points from two fewer matches than their hosts.
Prediction
Hyper2Play's model, which weighs points per game, goal difference, recent form and home advantage, makes VfL Gummersbach the pick. It gives the visitors a 53% chance of victory, against 24% for a draw and 23% for a home win, with medium confidence.
Gummersbach's healthier scoring record and their unbeaten run in this fixture outweigh the home advantage for TPSG Frisch Auf Göppingen, who did at least end their losing streak last time out. This is an estimate from our model, not a guarantee.
Our own model, from points per game, goal difference, recent form and home advantage. An estimate, not betting advice.
This article was written with automation from verified sports data and checked against that data before publishing. How we work
