Wisła Płock vs HBC Nantes: Prediction & Preview
Wisła Płock host HBC Nantes at Orlen Arena in Round 6 of the EHF Champions League, with both sides level on 6 points. Preview and prediction.
Top-of-the-table meeting at Orlen Arena
Wisła Płock welcome HBC Nantes to Orlen Arena in Round 6 of the EHF Champions League 2026/2027 on Wednesday, 28 October 2026. Throw-off is at 17:45 UTC (13:45 ET).
The hosts lead the 24-team table with 6 points from 5 games, having won three and lost two. HBC Nantes sit third with an identical record of three wins and two defeats, also on 6 points.
Form guide
Wisła Płock arrive with a form line of LWWWL. Their run of three straight wins, including 33-32 at home and 32-26 away against Vardar 1961, ended with a 26-28 defeat at MT Melsungen on 22 October.
HBC Nantes show WLWWL across all competitions. They bounced back from a 27-33 home loss to Vardar 1961 in the Champions League by beating Chambéry Savoie Handball 41-29 in the LNH Starligue on 24 October. Across all competitions they have won 9 of 12 matches this season.
Head to head
There is nothing to separate the sides over their last five meetings, with two wins each and one draw. HBC Nantes edged the most recent one 26-25 at home on 9 September 2026, and also won 29-24 on 2 April 2025.
Wisła Płock beat HBC Nantes 28-25 at home on 27 March 2025 and won 30-29 away on 29 March 2023. The other meeting, on 22 March 2023 in Płock, finished 32-32.
Key numbers
In the Champions League, Wisła Płock have scored 141 goals and conceded 136 in their 5 matches. HBC Nantes have scored 142 and conceded 143 over the same number of games, so the hosts carry the tighter defensive record into this one.
Across all competitions, HBC Nantes have scored 389 goals and conceded 344 in 12 matches. No top scorer data is available for either team.
Prediction
Hyper2Play's model, which weighs points per game, goal difference, recent form and home advantage, rates Wisła Płock as favourites with a 49% win probability. It gives a draw 25% and an HBC Nantes win 26%, with medium confidence in the pick.
The hosts' better goal record in the competition and home advantage at Orlen Arena tilt the model their way, but the even head-to-head record and HBC Nantes' recent narrow win in September suggest a close contest. This is an estimate from our model, not a guarantee.
Our own model, from points per game, goal difference, recent form and home advantage. An estimate, not betting advice.
This article was written with automation from verified sports data and checked against that data before publishing. How we work