Henderson Silver Knights vs Ontario Reign: Prediction
Henderson Silver Knights host Ontario Reign in AHL Round 5 at Orleans Arena. Form, head-to-head record and Hyper2Play's model prediction.
AHL Round 5 at Orleans Arena
Henderson Silver Knights welcome Ontario Reign to Orleans Arena in Round 5 of the 2026/2027 AHL season. The game starts on Thursday, 29 October 2026, at 02:00 UTC (22:00 ET).
The visitors sit higher in the standings, 10th of 31 with 10 points from 8 games on a record of five wins and three defeats. Henderson are 16th with 8 points from 7 games, having won four and lost three.
Form guide
Henderson's last five read LWWWL. They split a home double-header with Tucson Roadrunners, winning 2-1 on 24 October before losing 1-4 a day later, and before that they beat Ontario Reign 5-2 away and Coachella Valley Firebirds 4-0 at home.
Ontario Reign come in on LWWLW. They also split a weekend set, beating Texas Stars 5-3 away on 24 October and then losing 2-5 to the same side on 25 October. Their run includes 3-2 wins over Calgary Wranglers and San Diego Gulls.
Head to head
Ontario Reign edge the last five meetings with three wins to Henderson's two. The Reign won three in a row between January and March 2026, by 5-4, 4-3 and 2-1, all by a single goal.
Henderson have taken the two most recent encounters, winning 3-1 at home on 26 March 2026 and 5-2 in Ontario on 18 October 2026.
Key numbers
Henderson have the tighter defence, conceding 15 goals in 7 games while scoring 17, and they have kept one clean sheet. Ontario Reign have been more productive in attack with 26 goals in 8 games, but they have let in 30 and have yet to keep a clean sheet.
No top scorer information is available for either side ahead of this game.
Prediction
Hyper2Play's model makes Henderson Silver Knights the pick, giving them a 65% chance of winning against 35% for Ontario Reign, with high confidence and a likely score of 3-2. The model weighs points per game, goal difference, recent form and home advantage.
Henderson's positive goal difference, their home ice and their 5-2 win in the last meeting all point their way, while Ontario's goals against stand out as a weakness. This is an estimate from our own model and not a guarantee of the result.
Most likely score: 3-2
Our own model, from points per game, goal difference, recent form and home advantage. An estimate, not betting advice.
This article was written with automation from verified sports data and checked against that data before publishing. How we work