Severstal Cherepovets vs Spartak Moscow: Prediction
Severstal Cherepovets host Spartak Moscow in KHL Round 9 at Ice Palace Cherepovets. Form, head-to-head and our model's prediction.
Round 9 meeting in Cherepovets
Severstal Cherepovets host Spartak Moscow in Round 9 of the 2026/2027 KHL season on Thursday, 29 October 2026. The game at Ice Palace Cherepovets starts at 16:00 UTC (12:00 ET).
The hosts sit 8th of 22 with 24 points from 20 games, having won 11 and lost 7, with 46 goals scored and 43 conceded. Spartak Moscow are 5th on 25 points from 19 games, with 11 wins, 5 defeats and a record of 51 goals for and 35 against.
Form guide
Severstal Cherepovets arrive on a run of three straight defeats. They lost 0-1 away at Lokomotiv Yaroslavl on 25 October, 1-3 at Spartak Moscow on 23 October and 1-5 at home to Shanghai Dragons on 21 October. Before that they beat Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod 4-1 and Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 5-2, both at home.
Spartak Moscow had won four in a row before a 3-4 home defeat to Shanghai Dragons on 25 October. That run included a 3-1 win over Severstal Cherepovets, a 2-0 victory against CSKA Moscow, and away wins at Admiral Vladivostok (5-1) and Amur Khabarovsk (2-1).
Head to head
Spartak Moscow have dominated recent meetings, winning 4 of the last 5 against Severstal Cherepovets. The most recent was a 3-1 Spartak win on 23 October 2026, and on 12 September 2026 they won 8-0 at home.
Severstal Cherepovets also lost both of their last two home games in this fixture, 1-5 on 2 February 2026 and 1-2 on 6 January 2026. Their only win in the sequence came away, 4-3 at Spartak Moscow on 14 November 2025.
Key numbers
Spartak Moscow have the stronger attack and defence of the two, with 51 goals scored and 35 conceded against Severstal Cherepovets' 46 and 43. The visitors have kept 3 clean sheets this season, one more than the hosts' 2.
Prediction
Hyper2Play's model, based on points per game, goal difference, recent form and home advantage, rates Spartak Moscow as favourites with a 64% chance of winning against 36% for Severstal Cherepovets. Our pick is Spartak Moscow, with 1-2 the most likely score, and the model's confidence is high.
The visitors' better goal record, the hosts' three-game losing run and Spartak Moscow's 4 wins in the last 5 meetings all point the same way. This is an estimate from our own model, not a guarantee.
Most likely score: 1-2
Our own model, from points per game, goal difference, recent form and home advantage. An estimate, not betting advice.
This article was written with automation from verified sports data and checked against that data before publishing. How we work
