Toronto Maple Leafs vs Edmonton Oilers: Prediction
Toronto Maple Leafs host Edmonton Oilers at Scotiabank Arena in the NHL on 15 November 2026. Form, head to head and our model's prediction.
Leafs host the Oilers at Scotiabank Arena
Toronto Maple Leafs welcome Edmonton Oilers to Scotiabank Arena on Sunday, 15 November 2026, in Round 7 of the 2026/2027 NHL season. The two sides arrive at very different ends of the standings.
Toronto sit 23rd of 32 with 18 points from 21 games, having won 8 and lost 11. Edmonton are 3rd with 31 points from 20 games, with 14 wins and 3 defeats.
Form guide
Toronto's form reads LLLLL, and all five of those defeats came on home ice. They lost 2-5 to Minnesota Wild on 13 November, 3-6 to Colorado Avalanche on 11 November and 0-4 to New Jersey Devils on 9 November, after earlier losses of 2-4 to Montreal Canadiens and 2-3 to Utah Mammoth.
Edmonton's form is WWWLL. After losing 3-4 away to New Jersey Devils and 4-5 at home to Anaheim Ducks, they beat Vancouver Canucks 4-2, New York Rangers 3-1 and Philadelphia Flyers 3-2, all at home.
Head to head
Recent meetings have favoured Toronto Maple Leafs, who won four of the last five against Edmonton Oilers. The most recent came on 24 October 2026, when Toronto won 7-2 in Edmonton, and they also won 5-2 there on 4 February 2026.
Edmonton's only win in that run was a 6-3 victory in Toronto on 14 December 2025. The Leafs also won 4-3 in Edmonton on 2 February 2025 and 4-3 at home on 17 November 2024.
Key numbers
In the league, Toronto have scored 69 goals and conceded 75, while Edmonton have scored 81 and conceded 58. Across all competitions the Leafs have won 10 of 25 games with 0 clean sheets, scoring 83 and conceding 86.
Edmonton's record in all competitions stands at 18 wins from 24 games, with 94 goals scored, 63 conceded and 2 clean sheets. No top scorer data is available for either team.
Prediction
Hyper2Play's own model, which weighs points per game, goal difference, recent form and home advantage, gives Edmonton Oilers an 86% chance of winning against 14% for Toronto Maple Leafs. Its pick is Edmonton Oilers, with confidence rated high and a likely score of 2-3.
The Oilers' stronger league position, better goal difference and three straight wins outweigh Toronto's home ice and their good recent record in this fixture. This is a model estimate rather than a guarantee, and the Leafs' recent wins over Edmonton show an upset is possible.
Most likely score: 2-3
Our own model, from points per game, goal difference, recent form and home advantage. An estimate, not betting advice.
This article was written with automation from verified sports data and checked against that data before publishing. How we work
