Minnesota Vikings vs Buffalo Bills: Prediction & Preview
Minnesota Vikings host Buffalo Bills at U.S. Bank Stadium in NFL Round 9. Form, head-to-head record and Hyper2Play's model prediction.
Top-three meeting in Round 9
Minnesota Vikings host Buffalo Bills in Round 9 of the 2026 NFL season at U.S. Bank Stadium. Kick-off is on Tuesday, 10 November 2026, at 01:15 UTC (20:15 ET).
The two sides arrive with identical league records after seven games, six wins and one defeat each. Buffalo Bills sit 2nd of 32 teams, one place above Minnesota Vikings in 3rd.
Form guide
Minnesota Vikings won four in a row before a 15-19 defeat away to Detroit Lions on 1 November 2026. That run included a 16-10 home win over Indianapolis Colts, a 23-13 victory at New Orleans Saints and a 15-10 home win against Miami Dolphins. Across all competitions they have won 7 of 10 games.
Buffalo Bills come in with three straight wins, the latest a 36-10 home victory over Baltimore Ravens on 1 November 2026. Before that they edged Las Vegas Raiders 33-30 and Los Angeles Rams 37-34, both away from home. Their only defeat in the last five was a 26-29 home loss to New England Patriots, and they have won 9 of 10 games in all competitions.
Head to head
Buffalo Bills lead the last five meetings with three wins to Minnesota Vikings' two. The most recent came on 13 November 2022, when Minnesota Vikings won 33-30 in Buffalo.
Before that, Buffalo Bills won 27-23 at home in August 2019, 27-6 in Minnesota in September 2018 and 17-16 at home in October 2014. Minnesota Vikings' other win in this run was a 38-14 home result in December 2010.
Key numbers
Buffalo Bills have the more productive offence, with 233 points scored in seven league games, but they have also conceded 181. In all competitions they have scored 321 and allowed 229.
Minnesota Vikings have been tighter at the back, conceding 93 points in the league while scoring 140. Their recent games have mostly been low-scoring, with no more than 23 points scored in any of their last five.
Prediction
Hyper2Play's model makes Minnesota Vikings the pick, with a 58% chance of a home win against 42% for Buffalo Bills, at medium confidence. The model weighs points per game, points difference, recent form and home advantage, and playing at U.S. Bank Stadium helps tip a very even matchup towards the hosts.
Buffalo Bills' scoring power and three-game winning run mean this is far from settled. The figures are an estimate from Hyper2Play's model, not a guarantee of the result.
Our own model, from points per game, goal difference, recent form and home advantage. An estimate, not betting advice.
This article was written with automation from verified sports data and checked against that data before publishing. How we work
