Jaguares de Nayarit vs Águilas de Mexicali: Prediction

Jaguares de Nayarit host Águilas de Mexicali in the Liga Mexicana del Pacífico 2026/2027 season on Wednesday, 28 October 2026. First pitch at Estadio Coloso Don Alejo Peralta is at 02:30 UTC (22:30 ET).

The two sides arrive from opposite ends of the standings. Jaguares de Nayarit sit 10th of 10 after 11 games, with two wins, nine defeats and 2 points. Águilas de Mexicali are 3rd, having won seven and lost four of their 11 games for 7 points.

Jaguares de Nayarit come home after a difficult road trip, with a form line of LWLLL. They were shut out 0-5 by Mayos de Navojoa on 26 October, a day after a 7-5 win over the same opponents, and lost 4-5 to them on 24 October. Before that, Naranjeros de Hermosillo beat them 3-9 and 4-11.

Águilas de Mexicali show WWLWL. They took two home games against Naranjeros de Hermosillo on 25 October, 6-5 and 6-3, after a 5-7 defeat to the same side on 24 October. On the road at Charros de Jalisco they won 11-4 on 23 October and lost 7-9 on 22 October.

The run columns underline the gap between the teams. Jaguares de Nayarit have scored 45 runs and conceded 77 in their 11 games, and are yet to record a shutout.

Águilas de Mexicali have scored 63 and allowed 55 over the same number of games. They have also kept opponents scoreless twice.

Hyper2Play's model makes Águilas de Mexicali the pick with high confidence, giving them an 80% chance of victory against 20% for Jaguares de Nayarit. The estimate is built on points per game, run difference, recent form and home advantage.

The visitors lead on every one of those measures except home advantage, which belongs to Jaguares de Nayarit and is not enough to tilt the model their way. This is an estimate from our own model, not a guarantee.