Naranjeros de Hermosillo vs Venados de Mazatlán: Prediction
Naranjeros de Hermosillo host eighth-placed Venados de Mazatlán at Estadio Sonora in the Liga Mexicana del Pacífico. Form, head to head and our pick.
Leaders host Venados at Estadio Sonora
Naranjeros de Hermosillo welcome Venados de Mazatlán to Estadio Sonora in the Liga Mexicana del Pacífico on Wednesday, 28 October 2026. First pitch is at 02:30 UTC (22:30 ET).
The hosts lead the 10-team table after 11 games, with 8 wins, 3 defeats and 8 points. Venados de Mazatlán are 8th, having won 4 and lost 7 for 4 points.
Form guide
Naranjeros de Hermosillo arrive on the back of two defeats. They beat Jaguares de Nayarit 11-4 and 9-3 at home, then won 7-5 away at Águilas de Mexicali before losing the next two games in Mexicali 3-6 and 5-6.
Venados de Mazatlán are heading the other way. After losing twice by 2-3 away at Yaquis de Obregón and falling 1-9 at home to Charros de Jalisco, they recovered to beat Charros de Jalisco 6-4 and 5-4 in their last two outings.
Head to head
Naranjeros de Hermosillo have won 3 of the last 5 meetings, with Venados de Mazatlán taking the other 2. Last December in Hermosillo, the hosts won 5-1 and 9-2 before Venados de Mazatlán edged the third game 7-6.
In November 2025 at Venados de Mazatlán's ground, Naranjeros de Hermosillo won 9-2 before losing 3-2 the following day.
Key numbers
Naranjeros de Hermosillo have scored 71 runs and allowed 45 across their 11 games, and have recorded 1 shutout. That run difference is the best foundation of their place at the top.
Venados de Mazatlán have scored 42 and conceded 57 in the same number of games, and have yet to record a shutout. No individual player statistics are available for this fixture.
Prediction
Hyper2Play's model makes Naranjeros de Hermosillo clear favourites, giving them an 86% chance of winning against 14% for Venados de Mazatlán, with confidence rated high. The estimate is based on points per game, run difference, recent form and home advantage.
The gap in the table and in runs scored and allowed, plus home advantage at Estadio Sonora, outweighs the hosts' two recent defeats and Venados de Mazatlán's two straight wins. Our pick is Naranjeros de Hermosillo, though this is a model estimate and not a guarantee.
Our own model, from points per game, goal difference, recent form and home advantage. An estimate, not betting advice.
This article was written with automation from verified sports data and checked against that data before publishing. How we work
