Yaquis de Obregón vs Tomateros de Culiacán: Prediction
Yaquis de Obregón host Tomateros de Culiacán at Estadio Yaquis in the Liga Mexicana del Pacífico. Form, head to head and our model's prediction.
Level records in the Liga Mexicana del Pacífico
Yaquis de Obregón host Tomateros de Culiacán in the Liga Mexicana del Pacífico on Wednesday, 28 October 2026, with first pitch at 02:10 UTC (22:10 ET) at Estadio Yaquis. The 2026/2027 season is 11 games old for both clubs, and their records are identical.
Each side has won six and lost five. Tomateros de Culiacán sit 4th of 10, while Yaquis de Obregón are 6th.
Form guide
Yaquis de Obregón come in with a form line of LWWWW, all five games played at home. They beat Venados de Mazatlán 3-2 on 22 and 23 October, then took the first two games against Cañeros de Los Mochis 7-0 and 7-6 before losing the third 1-2 on 26 October.
Tomateros de Culiacán have a form line of LLWWL, also from five home games. They split two with Mayos de Navojoa, losing 6-7 and winning 8-7, then beat Algodoneros de Guasave 6-3 before losing the next two 4-5 and 2-4.
Head to head
Tomateros de Culiacán have the edge across the last five meetings, with three wins to two. In November 2025 at their own ground, they lost 4-6 on 2 November and won 6-2 the following day.
The December 2025 series at Yaquis de Obregón's home went 3-5 and 3-6 to the visitors on 6 and 7 December, before Yaquis de Obregón won the final game 5-2 on 8 December.
Key numbers
Tomateros de Culiacán have the stronger offence, with 68 runs scored in 11 games, but they have also allowed 51. Yaquis de Obregón have scored 45 and conceded 35, the tighter defensive record of the two.
Yaquis de Obregón have one shutout this season, the 7-0 win over Cañeros de Los Mochis, while Tomateros de Culiacán have yet to record one.
Prediction
Hyper2Play's model makes Yaquis de Obregón the pick with high confidence, giving them a 65% chance of winning against 35% for Tomateros de Culiacán. The model weighs points per game, run difference, recent form and home advantage.
The home side's recent run of four straight wins and their stingier pitching record count in their favour, though Tomateros de Culiacán's offence and their head-to-head edge keep them in the contest. This is an estimate from our own model, not a guarantee.
Our own model, from points per game, goal difference, recent form and home advantage. An estimate, not betting advice.
This article was written with automation from verified sports data and checked against that data before publishing. How we work
