Boyacá Chicó vs Atlético Junior: Prediction & Preview
Boyacá Chicó host Atlético Junior in Liga DIMAYOR Round 5. Both sit on 15 points; our model narrowly favours the hosts in a low-confidence call.
Two sides level on points
Boyacá Chicó welcome Atlético Junior to Estadio La Independencia in Round 5 of the 2026 Liga DIMAYOR season. Kick-off is on Wednesday, 28 October 2026, at 01:05 UTC (21:05 ET).
There is nothing between the teams on points, with both on 15 after 15 matches. Boyacá Chicó sit 16th of 20 with four wins, three draws and eight defeats, having scored 12 and conceded 25. Atlético Junior are one place higher in 15th, with three wins, six draws and six defeats, and a record of 20 scored and 23 conceded.
Form guide
Atlético Junior arrive on the back of a 1-0 home win over Rionegro Águilas on 24 October. Before that came three straight draws: 0-0 away to Deportivo Cali, 1-1 at home to Deportivo Pereira and 2-2 at home to Internacional de Bogotá.
The run started after a 1-3 defeat away to Atlético Bucaramanga on 4 October, leaving their form at WDDDL, newest first. Across all competitions, Junior have won 13, drawn 12 and lost 15 of 40 matches, keeping 11 clean sheets.
Head to head
Recent meetings have gone Atlético Junior's way, with four wins and one draw in the last five, and no victory for Boyacá Chicó. Junior won 3-0 at home on 8 February 2026 and 2-0 at home on 2 August 2025.
Their other wins came 2-0 away on 19 February 2025 and 2-1 at home on 22 July 2024. The only draw was a 2-2 at Boyacá Chicó on 28 January 2024.
Key numbers
Over the four matches with available stats, Atlético Junior have averaged 53.5% possession, 13.75 shots and 3.75 shots on target per game. They have also averaged five corners.
Their expected goals figures are evenly balanced, at 1.2 for and 1.2 against. That matches a season in which they have scored 52 and conceded 54 across all competitions.
Prediction
Hyper2Play's model gives Boyacá Chicó a 37% chance of winning, with the draw at 28% and an Atlético Junior win at 35%. The pick is Boyacá Chicó, with 1-0 the most likely score.
The model weighs points per game, goal difference, recent form and home advantage, and the level points tally keeps the margins tight. Confidence is low, given Junior's recent run and their strong record in this fixture, so this is an estimate rather than a guarantee.
Most likely score: 1-0
Our own model, from points per game, goal difference, recent form and home advantage. An estimate, not betting advice.
This article was written with automation from verified sports data and checked against that data before publishing. How we work
