Once Caldas vs Alianza de Valledupar: Prediction & Preview
Once Caldas host Alianza de Valledupar at Estadio Palogrande in Liga DIMAYOR Round 5. Our preview, table context and model prediction.
Once Caldas host Alianza de Valledupar in Round 5
Once Caldas welcome Alianza de Valledupar to Estadio Palogrande for Round 5 of the 2026 Liga DIMAYOR season in Colombia. The match takes place on Wednesday, 28 October 2026, with kick-off at 23:00 UTC (19:00 ET).
The hosts sit 8th in the 20-team table on 21 points, while the visitors are four places lower in 12th on 18 points. Alianza de Valledupar have played one match fewer, 15 to Once Caldas' 16.
Key numbers
Once Caldas have a balanced record of five wins, six draws and five defeats. They have scored 20 goals and conceded 18, so they have kept the goals against below their tally going forward.
Alianza de Valledupar have also won five times, but they have drawn three and lost seven. Their defence has been the bigger concern, with 26 goals conceded against 16 scored.
Prediction
Hyper2Play's model makes Once Caldas favourites, giving them a 55% chance of victory, with the draw at 24% and an away win at 21%. The pick is Once Caldas, with 1-0 the most likely scoreline, and the model's confidence is rated medium.
The estimate is based on points per game, goal difference, recent form and home advantage, and the hosts' higher league position and tighter defensive record point their way. This is a projection from our own model, not a guarantee of the result.
Most likely score: 1-0
Our own model, from points per game, goal difference, recent form and home advantage. An estimate, not betting advice.
This article was written with automation from verified sports data and checked against that data before publishing. How we work
