Leeds United vs Tottenham Hotspur: Prediction & Preview
Leeds United host Tottenham Hotspur at Elland Road in Premier League Round 10. Form, head to head, key numbers and our model's prediction.
Leeds United host Spurs in Round 10
Leeds United welcome Tottenham Hotspur to Elland Road in Round 10 of the 2026/2027 Premier League on Saturday, 7 November 2026. Kick-off is at 12:30 UTC (07:30 ET).
Only one point separates the sides. Leeds United sit 12th of 20 with 11 points from nine matches, having won two, drawn five and lost two, with 9 goals scored and 8 conceded. Tottenham Hotspur are 9th on 12 points from a record of three wins, three draws and three defeats, with 10 goals for and 10 against.
Form guide
Leeds United arrive without a win in their last five league matches, with a form line of LDDLD. Their most recent outing was a 0-2 defeat at Bournemouth on 31 October, after a 0-0 draw at Sunderland, a 1-1 home draw with Manchester United, a 1-2 loss at Arsenal and a 0-0 draw at home to Crystal Palace.
Tottenham Hotspur are in much better shape, reading WWWDL. They beat Crystal Palace 2-0 at home on 31 October, won 2-0 at Chelsea and beat Coventry City 3-1. Before that run they drew 1-1 at Manchester United and lost 2-3 at home to Aston Villa.
Head to head
Leeds United have not beaten Tottenham Hotspur in the two meetings listed, with Spurs winning one and the other ending level. The most recent game, on 11 May 2026, finished 1-1 at Tottenham Hotspur.
At Elland Road on 4 October 2025, Tottenham Hotspur won 1-2.
Key numbers and players
Across the eight matches with stats, Tottenham Hotspur average 64.63% possession, 16 shots, 4.5 shots on target and 8 corners per game, with an xG of 1.34 and 1.12 against. Leeds United average 51% possession, 12 shots, 3.5 on target and 3.88 corners, with an xG of 0.95 against 1.34 conceded.
Both defences have had their moments, with Leeds United keeping 3 clean sheets and Tottenham Hotspur 4. Dominic Calvert-Lewin leads the Leeds scoring with 3 league goals, ahead of Jayden Bogle on 2, while Jan Paul van Hecke is listed as the Spurs top scorer with 2.
Prediction
Hyper2Play's own model, based on points per game, goal difference, recent form and home advantage, gives Leeds United a 32% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Tottenham Hotspur 41%. The pick is Tottenham Hotspur, with 0-1 the most likely score.
The visitors' three-match winning run and stronger attacking numbers tip the balance, while Leeds United's low xG suggests goals may be hard to come by for the hosts. Confidence is rated low, reflecting home advantage and how close the sides are in the table, so this is an estimate rather than a guarantee.
Most likely score: 0-1
Our own model, from points per game, goal difference, recent form and home advantage. An estimate, not betting advice.
This article was written with automation from verified sports data and checked against that data before publishing. How we work
