Toronto Maple Leafs vs New Jersey Devils: Prediction
Toronto Maple Leafs host New Jersey Devils at Scotiabank Arena in the NHL on 9 November 2026. Form, head to head and our model's prediction.
Leafs look to stop the slide against in-form Devils
Toronto Maple Leafs welcome New Jersey Devils to Scotiabank Arena on Monday, 9 November 2026 in Round 7 of the 2026/2027 NHL season. The two sides arrive in very different positions in the standings.
Toronto are 19th of 32 teams with 18 points, having won 8 and lost 8 of their 18 games. New Jersey are 6th with 24 points, built on 12 wins and 5 defeats from 17 games.
Form guide
Toronto's recent run reads LLWLL. They were beaten 2-4 at home by Montreal Canadiens on 8 November, after a 2-3 home loss to Utah Mammoth on 4 November. Their only win in the last five came away to Vancouver Canucks, 4-2, either side of road defeats by Seattle Kraken (4-5) and Calgary Flames (2-5).
New Jersey's form is WWWWL. Their latest win was 5-4 away to New York Islanders on 8 November, following a 5-4 home victory over St. Louis Blues and a 4-3 success against Edmonton Oilers. Before that they won 5-2 at Vegas Golden Knights, with their last defeat a 2-5 loss at Colorado Avalanche on 29 October.
Head to head
Toronto have the edge in the last five meetings, with three wins to New Jersey's two. The most recent game, on 5 March 2026, went the Devils' way 4-3 in New Jersey, while Toronto won 4-0 at home on 31 December 2025.
The Devils won 5-2 in Toronto on 21 October 2025. Earlier, Toronto won 4-3 at home on 17 January 2025 and 2-1 in New Jersey on 11 December 2024.
Key numbers
In the league, Toronto have scored 64 goals and conceded 60, while New Jersey have scored 62 and allowed 51 in one game fewer. The Devils' tighter defence stands out against a Leafs side that have shipped three or more goals in four of their last five games.
Across all competitions, Toronto have played 22, winning 10 and losing 12, with 78 goals for and 71 against. New Jersey have won 15 and lost 6 of their 21 games, scoring 74 and conceding 59. Neither team has recorded a shutout.
Prediction
Hyper2Play's model, which weighs points per game, goal difference, recent form and home advantage, gives New Jersey Devils a 73% chance of winning against 27% for Toronto Maple Leafs. The pick is the Devils, with a likely score of 2-3 and the model's confidence rated high.
The Devils' four-game winning run and stronger league record outweigh home ice for Toronto, who have lost their last two at Scotiabank Arena. Toronto's head-to-head record offers some hope, and this is a model estimate rather than a guarantee.
Most likely score: 2-3
Our own model, from points per game, goal difference, recent form and home advantage. An estimate, not betting advice.
This article was written with automation from verified sports data and checked against that data before publishing. How we work
