New York Giants vs Washington Commanders: Prediction
New York Giants host Washington Commanders at MetLife Stadium in NFL Round 10. Form, head-to-head record and our model's prediction.
Round 10 at MetLife Stadium
The New York Giants welcome the Washington Commanders to MetLife Stadium in Round 10 of the 2026 NFL season. Kick-off is on Friday, 13 November 2026, at 01:15 UTC (20:15 ET).
The two sides arrive in very different positions. The Giants sit 11th of 32 after eight games, with five wins, one tie and two defeats, while the Commanders are 26th with two wins, one tie and five defeats. New York have scored 182 points and conceded 172 in the league, compared with Washington's 172 scored and 202 conceded.
Form guide
The Giants carry a WWLDW run into this game. They won 19-11 away to the Philadelphia Eagles on 8 November and 27-21 away to the Houston Texans on 25 October, after a 27-34 home defeat by the New Orleans Saints. Before that came the 27-27 tie in Washington and a 36-24 home win over the Arizona Cardinals.
The Commanders' form reads LWLDL. They lost 13-20 at home to the Los Angeles Rams on 8 November, six days after beating the Philadelphia Eagles 27-10. Their other recent defeats were 17-23 away to the San Francisco 49ers and 13-30 at home to the Indianapolis Colts.
Head to head
Of the five meetings listed, Washington have won three, New York one, and one ended level. The most recent, on 11 October 2026 in Washington, finished 27-27.
Before that, the Commanders won 29-21 at the Giants on 14 December 2025 and 21-6 at home on 7 September 2025. The older meetings listed are a 48-21 Giants home win on 29 September 1968 and a 38-34 Washington home win on 1 October 1967.
Key numbers
Across all competitions the Giants have played 11, winning seven, tying one and losing three, with 241 points scored and 194 conceded. The Commanders have also played 11, but with three wins, one tie and seven defeats, scoring 208 and conceding 267.
Neither team has kept a clean sheet in that span, and no top scorers are listed for either side.
Prediction
Hyper2Play's model makes the New York Giants clear favourites, giving them an 82% chance of winning against 18% for the Washington Commanders, with a draw rated at 0%. The model's confidence in the Giants pick is high.
That estimate is based on points per game, points difference, recent form and home advantage, all of which favour New York on these figures. It is a model projection rather than a guarantee, and Washington's recent head-to-head record shows this fixture can go against the numbers.
Our own model, from points per game, goal difference, recent form and home advantage. An estimate, not betting advice.
This article was written with automation from verified sports data and checked against that data before publishing. How we work
