Cajamarca vs Universidad Técnica de Cajamarca: Prediction
Cajamarca host bottom side Universidad Técnica de Cajamarca in Liga 1 Perú Round 14 on 28 October. Form, key numbers and our model's prediction.
Cajamarca host the league's bottom side
Cajamarca welcome Universidad Técnica de Cajamarca to Estadio Cristo El Señor for Round 14 of the 2026 Liga 1 Perú season. Kick-off is on Wednesday, 28 October 2026, at 18:15 UTC (14:15 ET).
Cajamarca sit 15th of 18 with 28 points from 30 matches, having won 7, drawn 7 and lost 16. Universidad Técnica de Cajamarca are bottom of the table in 18th, with 15 points from 4 wins, 8 draws and 18 defeats.
Form guide
Cajamarca come into the game with a form line of LLDLW, newest first. Their most recent outing was a 2-4 defeat away to Sport Boys on 25 October, which followed a 0-1 home loss to Deportivo Moquegua and a 0-0 draw at ADT.
Their last win came on 12 September, a 2-1 victory away to Los Chankas. In between, they were beaten 1-2 at home by Cusco on 19 September.
Universidad Técnica de Cajamarca have lost all five of their recent matches. The latest was a 1-2 home defeat to Melgar on 23 October, after 0-1 losses to Cienciano and Sporting Cristal. Every one of those five defeats came by a single goal, including 2-3 at Sport Huancayo and 1-2 against Juan Pablo II College.
Key numbers
Cajamarca have scored 43 goals and conceded 57 across 30 matches this season, keeping just 1 clean sheet. Universidad Técnica de Cajamarca have the weaker attack, with 33 goals scored, and have conceded 54.
The visitors have kept 4 clean sheets, more than their hosts, which suggests they can be hard to break down on their day. No top scorers are listed for either side in our data.
Prediction
Hyper2Play's own model gives Cajamarca a 63% chance of winning, with the draw at 22% and an away win at 15%. The pick is Cajamarca, with 2-1 the most likely score and confidence rated high.
The model weighs points per game, goal difference, recent form and home advantage, and all four point towards the hosts. Cajamarca have the better league record and play at home, while Universidad Técnica de Cajamarca arrive on a run of five defeats. Their habit of losing narrowly fits the projected one-goal margin, but this is a model estimate and not a guarantee.
Most likely score: 2-1
Our own model, from points per game, goal difference, recent form and home advantage. An estimate, not betting advice.
This article was written with automation from verified sports data and checked against that data before publishing. How we work
