Universitario vs Sport Boys: Prediction & Preview

Universitario welcome Sport Boys to Estadio Monumental U for Round 14 of the 2026 Liga 1 Perú season. Kick-off is on Wednesday, 28 October 2026, at 21:00 UTC (17:00 ET).

The hosts sit 2nd of 18 with 56 points from 30 matches, having won 16, drawn 8 and lost 6. Sport Boys are 11th on 41 points from the same number of games, with 11 wins, 8 draws and 11 defeats.

Universitario arrive on the back of two straight league wins, beating Juan Pablo II College 3-0 at home on 25 October and Alianza Atlético 4-1 away a week earlier. Before that they drew 2-2 with Melgar at home and were beaten 0-4 away by Deportivo Garcilaso, though they had also won 2-1 away at Alianza Lima in September.

Sport Boys have been less consistent, with a form line of WLLDW. Their most recent outing was a 4-2 home win over Cajamarca, which followed a 0-2 defeat away at Juan Pablo II College and a 1-3 home loss to Alianza Atlético. They also drew 1-1 away at Melgar and beat Deportivo Garcilaso 1-0 at home.

Universitario have the stronger attack in the league, with 52 goals scored and 34 conceded. Across all competitions they have played 36 times, winning 17, drawing 11 and losing 8, with 57 goals for, 40 against and 12 clean sheets.

Sport Boys have scored 34 and conceded 33 in the league, a much tighter goal record. They have also kept 12 clean sheets, which suggests they can frustrate opponents even when goals are hard to come by.

Hyper2Play's model gives Universitario a 66% chance of victory, with the draw at 21% and a Sport Boys win at 13%. The pick is Universitario, with high confidence, and the most likely score is 1-0.

The estimate is based on points per game, goal difference, recent form and home advantage, all of which favour the hosts. Sport Boys' defensive record points to a close contest, which fits the narrow scoreline. This is a model estimate, not a guarantee.