Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Lima: Prediction & Preview

Sporting Cristal welcome Alianza Lima to Estadio Alberto Gallardo for Round 14 of the 2026 Liga 1 Perú season on Thursday, 29 October 2026. Kick-off is at 20:30 UTC (16:30 ET).

The visitors arrive as league leaders, first of 18 with 65 points from 30 matches. Sporting Cristal sit 8th on 44 points from the same number of games, with 13 wins, 5 draws and 12 defeats.

Sporting Cristal had won four in a row before a 1-3 defeat away to Cusco on 24 October. That run included a 4-2 home win over Comerciantes Unidos, a 1-0 victory away to Universidad Técnica de Cajamarca, a 3-1 home win against Atlético Grau and a 2-1 success at Deportivo Moquegua.

Alianza Lima carry the stronger momentum, with four straight wins since a 1-2 home loss to Universitario on 13 September. They beat ADT 2-0 and Atlético Grau 3-1 at home, and won 2-1 at Cusco and 1-0 at Deportivo Moquegua on 25 October.

Sporting Cristal have the more productive attack in the league, with 54 goals scored to Alianza Lima's 50. The difference is at the other end, where the leaders have conceded just 20 against Sporting Cristal's 45.

Across all competitions, Alianza Lima have lost only 4 of 32 matches and kept 12 clean sheets. Sporting Cristal have won 16, drawn 7 and lost 17 of their 40 games in all competitions, keeping 11 clean sheets.

Hyper2Play's model, built on points per game, goal difference, recent form and home advantage, makes Alianza Lima the pick. It gives the visitors a 55% chance of winning, with 24% for a draw and 21% for a Sporting Cristal victory.

The leaders' far tighter defence and their four-match winning run outweigh home advantage for Sporting Cristal, and the model's most likely score is 0-1. Confidence is rated medium, and this is an estimate rather than a guarantee.