Celtic vs Dundee United: Prediction & Preview

Celtic welcome Dundee United to Celtic Park in Round 11 of the 2026/2027 Scottish Premiership on Wednesday, 28 October 2026. Kick-off is at 19:45 UTC (15:45 ET).

Celtic lead the 12-team table with 27 points from 10 matches, having won nine and lost one, with 25 goals scored and six conceded. Dundee United are fourth on 15 points, with four wins, three draws and three defeats, and their goal record stands at 14 scored and 14 conceded.

Celtic's recent results read WLWLW, but the pattern splits neatly by competition. In the league they won 2-1 away at Hibernian on 25 October, beat Heart of Midlothian 7-1 at home on 18 October and won 2-0 at Motherwell on 11 October. Both defeats came in the UEFA Europa League, 1-2 at home to Celta Vigo and 1-4 away at Benfica.

Dundee United arrive with the form line WDWWD and no defeat in their last five league outings. They beat Aberdeen 3-2 at home on 24 October after a 1-1 draw at St Johnstone, and earlier won 1-0 at home to Hibernian and 3-0 away at St Mirren. A 1-1 home draw with Falkirk on 5 September completes the run.

Celtic have won three of the last five meetings and Dundee United two, with no draws. The most recent, on 15 August 2026, ended in a 4-0 Celtic win at Dundee United, and Celtic also won 4-0 at home on 10 January 2026 and 5-0 away on 26 April 2025.

Dundee United's two wins both came on home soil, 2-0 on 22 March 2026 and 2-1 on 17 December 2025. Celtic's victories in this series have all come by margins of four or five goals.

Across all competitions Celtic have played 15, won 10 and lost five, scoring 32 and conceding 20 with five clean sheets. They average 57.6% possession, 16.73 shots and 7.2 on target per match, with an xG of 2.13 against 0.99 conceded. Camilo Durán and Benjamin Nygren lead their league scoring with three goals each, followed by Callum Osmand on two.

Dundee United average 51.3% possession, 15.5 shots and 5.6 on target, with an xG of 1.6 and 1.42 against. Lyall Cameron is their top league scorer with two goals, while Daniel Bennie and Zachary Sapsford have one apiece. They have kept three clean sheets in 10 matches.

Hyper2Play's own model, which weighs points per game, goal difference, recent form and home advantage, gives Celtic an 81% chance of victory, a draw 15% and Dundee United 4%. The pick is Celtic with high confidence, and the most likely score is 2-0.

Celtic's perfect home-and-away league form in their recent outings, their stronger expected-goals numbers and three heavy wins in the last five meetings all point towards the hosts. Dundee United's unbeaten run and their two recent home wins in this fixture show they can cause problems, and the model's estimate is not a guarantee.