Heart of Midlothian vs Rangers: Prediction & Preview
Heart of Midlothian host Rangers at Tynecastle Park in Round 11 of the Scottish Premiership. Form, key numbers and our model's prediction.
Third hosts second at Tynecastle
Heart of Midlothian welcome Rangers to Tynecastle Park in Round 11 of the 2026/2027 Scottish Premiership on Wednesday, 28 October 2026. Kick-off is at 19:45 UTC (15:45 ET).
Hearts sit 3rd of 12 teams with 19 points from 10 matches, having won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3, with 22 goals scored and 15 conceded. Rangers are 2nd on 23 points from the same number of games, with 7 wins, 2 draws and only 1 defeat, scoring 17 and conceding 7.
Form guide
Hearts arrive on the back of a 2-0 league win away at Motherwell on 25 October, but their previous run was uneven. They lost 0-2 away to Trabzonspor in the UEFA Conference League, were beaten 1-7 by Celtic in the league, drew 1-1 at home with FC Nordsjælland and earlier thrashed St Mirren 5-0 at home. Across all competitions they have played 18, won 6, drawn 5 and lost 7, conceding 34 goals.
Rangers are in steadier shape with a WDWWW sequence. They beat St Johnstone 4-0 at home on 24 October after a 2-2 draw away at Dundee, and before that won 3-1 against Kilmarnock, 1-0 away at Celtic and 1-0 against St Mirren. In all competitions they have 8 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats from 14 games, with 6 clean sheets.
Key numbers and players
Rangers' averages point to control: 58% possession, 19.75 shots and 7.25 on target per game across 4 matches with stats, with an xG of 1.77 against 1.26 conceded. Hearts average 49.2% possession, 14.4 shots and 5 on target over 5 matches, with an xG of 1.57 but an xG against of 2.48.
Ryan Naderi is Rangers' leading scorer with 5 league goals, ahead of Kevin Kelsy on 3 and Min-Su Kim on 1. For Hearts, Cláudio Braga and Calvin Miller have 3 league goals each, with Laurent Mendy on 2.
Prediction
Hyper2Play's model gives Rangers a 52% chance of victory, with a Hearts win and a draw each rated at 24%. The pick is Rangers, with 1-2 the most likely score and confidence rated medium.
The model weighs points per game, goal difference, recent form and home advantage, and Rangers lead on most of those measures, while home advantage keeps Hearts in contention. This is an estimate from our own model, not a guarantee of the result.
Most likely score: 1-2
Our own model, from points per game, goal difference, recent form and home advantage. An estimate, not betting advice.
This article was written with automation from verified sports data and checked against that data before publishing. How we work
