St Mirren vs Hibernian: Prediction & Preview
St Mirren host bottom side Hibernian in Scottish Premiership Round 11 at St Mirren Park Paisley. Form, head to head and our model's prediction.
Mid-table hosts face the bottom side
St Mirren welcome Hibernian to St Mirren Park Paisley in Round 11 of the 2026/2027 Scottish Premiership. Kick-off is on Wednesday, 28 October 2026 at 19:45 UTC (15:45 ET).
St Mirren sit 6th of 12 with 13 points from 10 games, having won four, drawn one and lost five. Hibernian are bottom of the table on 7 points, with two wins, one draw and seven defeats from their 10 league matches.
Form guide
St Mirren arrive on the back of a 2-1 home win over Dundee on 24 October, which ended a run of four straight defeats. Before that they lost 1-3 at Aberdeen, 0-5 at Heart of Midlothian, 0-3 at home to Dundee United and 0-1 at Rangers. They have scored 11 league goals and conceded 18, while keeping three clean sheets.
Hibernian's form reads LLLDL. They lost 1-2 at home to Celtic on 25 October and by the same score at home to Falkirk on 17 October, after a 0-1 defeat at Dundee United. A 1-1 home draw with Aberdeen came between that run and a 0-1 home loss to Kilmarnock.
Head to head
Hibernian have the better of the recent meetings, with two wins and three draws in the last five, and St Mirren without a victory. The most recent game finished 2-0 to Hibernian on 14 February 2026, and they also won 0-3 at St Mirren on 8 November 2025.
Before that, the sides drew 1-1 at Hibernian on 31 August 2025, 2-2 in Paisley on 14 May 2025 and 0-0 in Paisley on 16 February 2025.
Key numbers and players
Across 14 matches with stats, Hibernian average 49.93% possession, 12.43 shots and 3.86 shots on target per game. Their expected goals figure is 0.96 against 0.86 conceded, and they average 5.57 corners. In all competitions they have played 16, winning four, drawing three and losing nine.
Owen Elding leads Hibernian's league scoring with 2 goals, with Martin Boyle on 1. For St Mirren, Eseosa Sule is top scorer with 2 league goals.
Prediction
Hyper2Play's model makes St Mirren favourites, giving them a 61% chance of winning, against 22% for a draw and 17% for a Hibernian win. The pick is St Mirren, with 1-0 the most likely score, and the model rates its confidence as high.
The estimate is based on points per game, goal difference, recent form and home advantage, where St Mirren's league position and home win over Dundee count in their favour. Hibernian's recent record in this fixture is a reminder that this is a model estimate, not a guarantee.
Most likely score: 1-0
Our own model, from points per game, goal difference, recent form and home advantage. An estimate, not betting advice.
This article was written with automation from verified sports data and checked against that data before publishing. How we work
