St Johnstone vs Motherwell: Prediction & Preview
St Johnstone host Motherwell at McDiarmid Park in Round 11 of the Scottish Premiership. Form, key numbers and our model's prediction.
Midweek meeting at McDiarmid Park
St Johnstone welcome Motherwell to McDiarmid Park for Round 11 of the 2026/2027 Scottish Premiership on Wednesday, 28 October 2026. Kick-off is at 19:45 UTC (15:45 ET).
The hosts sit 8th of 12 with 12 points from 10 matches, having won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4. Motherwell are 10th with 8 points from the same number of games, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats.
Form guide
St Johnstone's last five league outings read LDWDL. They were beaten 0-4 by Rangers away on 24 October, after a 1-1 home draw with Dundee United and a 1-0 win at Aberdeen. Before that came a 1-1 draw with Falkirk and a 0-1 home defeat to Celtic.
Motherwell arrive with form of LLLLL. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at home to Heart of Midlothian on 25 October, following a 2-3 loss at Kilmarnock and a 0-2 home defeat to Celtic. They also fell 1-2 at Dundee and 0-4 at home to Aberdeen.
Across all competitions Motherwell have played 16 times, winning 5, drawing 3 and losing 8, with 5 clean sheets. St Johnstone have 1 clean sheet from their 10 matches.
Key numbers and players
The two sides have each scored 11 league goals, but St Johnstone have conceded 15 to Motherwell's 18. Over their last 5 matches with stats, St Johnstone average 43% possession, 8.4 shots and 3.6 on target, with an xG of 1.24 against 1.22 conceded.
Motherwell have seen more of the ball, averaging 56.6% possession, 13 shots and 4.2 on target over the same sample. Their xG of 1.33 is set against an xG against of 1.75, which points to the defensive issues behind their results.
Josh Fowler is St Johnstone's leading scorer with 4 league goals, while Enes Alić has 1. For Motherwell, Alex Lowry tops the list with 2 league goals.
Prediction
Hyper2Play's model makes St Johnstone the favourites, giving them a 64% chance of winning, with 21% for a draw and 15% for a Motherwell win. The model's pick is St Johnstone and its most likely score is 1-0, rated with high confidence.
The estimate is based on points per game, goal difference, recent form and home advantage, and on those measures the hosts come out ahead of a Motherwell side that has lost five in a row. It is a model estimate rather than a guarantee, and Motherwell's possession and shot numbers suggest they can still create chances.
Most likely score: 1-0
Our own model, from points per game, goal difference, recent form and home advantage. An estimate, not betting advice.
This article was written with automation from verified sports data and checked against that data before publishing. How we work
